UK box office predictions January 24th – 25th: How did we do?
The biggest thing that we got right was saying that horror flick The Turning wouldn’t break into the UK top ten. In fact, it didn’t even break into the top fifteen and instead debuted in a miserable sixteenth place. Otherwise, we only called the top two correctly.
What where the surprises? Paw Patrol: Ready Race Rescue did make anywhere near as much as we thought it might, coming tenth instead of fourth and The Personal History of David Copperfield got off to a much better start than we’d guessed, appearing in third instead of fifth.
The only other things worth mentioning are that Jumanji: The Next Level continues to hold on well, staying fifth place week on week, and The Grudge debuted below expectations in eleventh.
Check out our past UK box office predictions.
What’s happening at the UK Box Office this week?
There’s a few new films out this weekend which are appearing on over 300 screens. A Beautiful Day In The Neighbourhood, Queen & Slim, The Rhythm Section and Richard Jewel. To complicate matters, Dolittle will receive mass previews from Saturday but it’s likely that box office takings won’t come in until the following weekend (we learned our lesson from Jumanji: The Next Level’s release last year).
This means that there will be a lot of choice for UK cinema-goers this weekend, making predictions doubly different.
The number of daily screenings for 1917, Bad Boys For Life and The Personal History of David Copperfield would suggest that the top three films from last weekend aren’t going anywhere.
We also think it’s touch-and-go between A Beautiful Day In The Neighbourhood and Little Women, as Little Women appears to be going down a treat with UK audiences, but A Beautiful Day In The Neighbourhood has Tom Hanks’ star power (and Oscar nod for best supporting actor). Empire said that the film “is a nuanced, formally playful delight, a perfectly pitched and played ode to goodness.”
Queen & Slim is also enjoying excellent reviews, with the BBC describing the films as “a suspenseful, beautifully realised vision of identity, race and injustice.”
Unfortunately The Rhythm Section isn’t getting the same strength of reviews, with Screen International saying “film is long on atmosphere and short on the kind of detail a spy thriller needs to be credible.”
That just leaves Richard Jewell, which is also struggling to gain support from critics. The Independent said that “Eastwood’s so eager to wag his finger at audiences that the film is left with all the dramatic subtlety of a seaside puppet show”. It also has limited daily screenings so we wouldn’t be surprised if the film doesn’t break into the top ten.
Weekend Box Office Predictions: Top 10 UK Films, January 31st – 2nd
2. Bad Boys For Life
3. The Personal History of David Copperfield
4. A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood
5. Little Women
6. Queen & Slim
7. Jumanji: The Next Level
8. The Gentlemen
9. The Rhythm Section
10. Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker
A Quick Note On Our UK Box Office Predictions…
These UK box office predictions are complete guesses from the Fantasy Film League team! We have no insider studio connections and we base our predictions on cinema screening estimates and data from past film performances.
Don’t forget these are the UK predictions and we use the US Top Ten as well for our Fantasy Film League game. While they can be similar there are always differences!
What do you think of our predictions? Let us know by tweeting @FFL.
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