UK Box Office Predictions 18th – 20th October: Busy half term box office bonanza!

UK box office predictions w/c 7th October: How did we do?

It was a strong week for our predictions as we correctly called the top five!

We were just out with Hustlers, which appeared in sixth instead of seventh. This was because The Day Shall Come had a disappointing debut in eight place, earning just £170K on its debut.

It was a bit of a topsy-turvy week at the bottom of the charts. It: Chapter Two plunged unexpectedly from sixth to thirteen, and the Lion King jumped back up into the charts from thirteenth to ninety. Ad Astra also fell heavily to earth (boom, boom!), dropping from fourth to tenth.

Check out our past UK box office predictions.

What’s happening at the UK Box Office this week?

It’s a big week for releases at the cinema in the UK this weekend!

There are two big films aimed at a family audience in the UK, A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon and Maleficent: Mistress of Evil. It’s Disney’s Maleficent leading the charge at the moment, but the big question will be whether or not it can dethrone Joker!

Even though it’s the start of the family season, we’re saying that Joker will keep the top spot – in its second week it still managed to pull in an astonishing £10mil! We just can’t see a sequel that’s had middling reviews (Empire said that Maleficent: Mistress of Evil was ‘far too busy and baroque’) coming out on top.

There’ll also be a big battle for third place with the attention of younger audiences up for grabs, with both Abominable and Shaun The Sheep Movie: Farmageddon battling it out. This is a lot tougher to call, but think Shaun The Sheep Movie: Farmageddon will have the edge because of the five star reviews that it’s been receiving. The Telegraph said that the film was ‘an ingenious, uproarious reminder of what makes Britain great’.

Also vying for third place is indie-hit-horror-zom-com-sequal Zombieland: Double Tap, but as it’s the start of a half-term break we think this will appear in fifth. Reviews have also been harsh, with the Guardian saying that the film is ‘a fan service sequel for fans who barely exist’.

British drama Official Secrets is also a wildcard entry this weekend. It hasn’t enjoyed the same marketing budget as its competitors, but it’s had strong reviews with the Times saying that the film has ‘fascinating tension at the heart of this whistleblower drama’. With all of the competition we don’t think it will break into the top five, but strong word of mouth could see the film stay in the charts for a while longer than many other recent indie alternatives.

Weekend Box Office Predictions: Top 10 UK Films, 18th – 20th October

1. Joker
2. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
3. Shaun The Sheep Movie: Farmageddon
4. Abominable
5. Zombieland: Double Tap
6. Gemini Man
7. Official Secrets
8. Judy
9. Downton Abbey
10. Hustlers

A Quick Note On Our UK Box Office Predictions…

These UK box office predictions are complete guesses from the Fantasy Film League team! We have no insider studio connections and we base our predictions on cinema screening estimates and data from past film performances.

Don’t forget these are the UK predictions and we use the US Top Ten as well for our Fantasy Film League game. While they can be similar there are always differences!

What do you think of our predictions? Let us know by tweeting @FFL.

What is Fantasy Film League?

If you’re obsessed with films (like us) and regularly check the UK box office cinema stats then Fantasy Film League is for you!

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