UK Box Office Predictions: Will Smith Vs. The Joker Vs. The Abominable Snowman Vs. Will Smith

UK box office predictions w/c 30th September: How did we do?

It would have been a good week if we’d correctly called the tussle between Downton Abbey and Judy! We’d expected that Downton Abbey would stay second with Judy debuting third, with both behind Joker (which was obviously going to come out on top) but Judy was off to a great start, debuting at £2 mil over Downton Abbey’s £1.5 mil.

Otherwise, Ready Or Not also took a dive from fifth to tenth and Rambo: Last Blood plummeted from seventh all the way out of the top ten to thirteenth – both falling much faster than we’d expected.

Check out our past UK box office predictions.

What’s happening at the UK Box Office this week?

Three big releases are on their way this weekend and they all target very different audiences!

Kids’ animation Abominable is likely to lead the pack, followed by action thriller Gemini Man and then comedy The Day Shall Come. We don’t think any newcomers will be able to topple Joker however, which debuted last weekend with a dominant £12.5 mil haul.

We think that Abominable should come second, appearing as a fresh choice for families to enjoy. While it’s not had rapturous reviews, they’ve been good enough to draw a crowd. Empire said that the film is ‘breezy and colourful enough to entertain throughout, with a splendid silly streak’.

Gemini Man on the other hand has been slated, but it’s huge marketing campaign and the star power of Will Smith should see it appear as high as third. The Telegraph said ‘Will Smith can’t save this tedious thriller from his deepfake younger self.’ We’re saying that it won’t beat Abominable because we can’t see it stealing big adult crowds away from Joker.

The Day Shall Come has received some strong reviews, with the Guardian calling it a ‘short sharp comedy’ with ‘hilariously unhinged elements’. There’s a lot of competition at the UK box office at the moment however, so we’d be surprised if this took more money than Downton Abbey.

Weekend Box Office Predictions: Top 10 UK Films, October 11th – October 13th

1. Joker
2. Abominable
3. Gemini Man
4. Judy
5. Downton Abbey
6. The Day Shall Come
7. Hustlers
8. Ad Astra
9. The Lion King
10. It: Chapter Two

A Quick Note On Our UK Box Office Predictions…

These UK box office predictions are complete guesses from the Fantasy Film League team! We have no insider studio connections and we base our predictions on cinema screening estimates and data from past film performances.

Don’t forget these are the UK predictions and we use the US Top Ten as well for our Fantasy Film League game. While they can be similar there are always differences!

What do you think of our predictions? Let us know by tweeting @FFL.

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