UK box office predictions w/c 18th Feb: Will UK cinema goers forgive Liam Neeson?

UK box office predictions w/c 11th Feb: How did we do?

With two animation extravaganzas on release we knew it wouldn’t be easy for The Kid Who Would Be King at the UK box office, but it has been a miserable start for Joe Cornish’s fantasy adventure. While we predicted that this could open as low as fifth, it actually ended up way down in seventh place.

We’re taking some comfort from the fact that our predictions for Happy Death Day 2U entering the charts in sixth, and Glass slipping down to ninth, proved accurate. While The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part stayed on top of the box office (again, as we’d predicted), Instant Family’s strong opening in second and an Oscar’s bounce (benefiting strong contenders The Favourite and Green Book) threw the rest of our predictions out of sync slightly!

You can read our full UK box office predictions for last week here.

What’s happening at the UK Box Office this week?

There are only two new releases that are likely to slip into the charts at the UK box office this week so we’re not expecting too much change. There are some close battles however, as half term might give How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World a boost and see it climb back in to second place behind The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part. UK cinemas still seem to be favouring Instant Family with more screenings so, for now, we’re predicting this will stay at number 2.

The next close fight we’re likely to see will see Liam Neeson face off with Alita as Cold Pursuit takes on Alita: Battle Angel. Liam Neeson is taller, Cold Pursuit is a fresher release, and reviews have been leaning towards positive, however Neeson’s ghastly remarks from a few weeks ago may be a big turn-off for many cinema goers.

Joining the fray could be the formidable Ruth Bader Ginsburg with Felicity Jones starring in On the Basis of Sex. Mediocre reviews and minimal marketing may see this fail to get past Green Book, which has had a terrific run so far and should continue to do well with the building Oscar buzz.

The last close call is between If Beale Street Could Talk and Glass, both of which will be jostling for tenth position. We’re betting on If Beale Street Could Talk simply because it’s not been out as long as Glass, but it could easily go either way.

Weekend box office predictions: Top 10 UK films, 15-17 February

  1. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part
  2. Instant Family
  3. How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
  4. Cold Pursuit
  5. Alita: Battle Angel 
  6. Green Book
  7. On The Basis of Sex
  8. Happy Death Day 2U
  9. The Kid Who Would Be King
  10. If Beale Street Could Talk

A quick note on our UK box office predictions…

These UK box office predictions are complete guesses from the Fantasy Film League team! We have no insider studio connections and we base our predictions on cinema screening estimates and data from past film performances.

Don’t forget these are the UK predictions and we use the US top ten as well for our Fantasy Film League game. While they can be similar there are always differences!

What do you think of our predictions? Let us know by tweeting @TheFFL.

What is the Fantasy Film League?

If you’re obsessed with films (like us) and regularly check the UK box office cinema stats then the Fantasy Film League is for you!

It’s a game! Pick actors and directors for your fantasy films and score when they make real films. Create your fantasy film today.

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